01 Hypothesis
Plasticity — the capacity to enter the wound-healing, drug-tolerant state — varies systematically between regions of a single tumour, and that variation has two separable sources:
- A cell-intrinsic component that is heritable through organoid derivation, and so persists when the microenvironment is removed.
- An environment-induced component that is only recovered when the relevant stromal signals are restored in co-culture.
The prediction that makes this testable: regions whose organoids differ in plasticity in pure epithelial culture differ for intrinsic reasons, while regions that converge in pure culture but diverge again under co-culture differ because of where they sat in the tissue.
02 The separating experiment
Derive organoids from several spatially annotated regions per patient, then measure the drug-tolerant transition under a factorial perturbation:
The co-culture arm is the control that makes the design work. Without it, every regional difference surviving organoid derivation is ambiguous between "intrinsic" and "the microenvironment left a mark that culture has not yet erased". With it, the interaction term between region and co-culture is the quantity of interest rather than a nuisance.
Mass cytometry is the right readout here specifically because it measures signalling and cell-state markers in the same cells at single-cell resolution. A state transition that happens in 8% of cells is invisible in a bulk lysate and obvious in a CyTOF distribution.
03 Defining a plasticity index
The project needs one number per region that means "how readily this population switches". I would define it as an inducible shift in state occupancy rather than as a marker intensity:
- Arcsinh-transform, bead-normalise and batch-correct the CyTOF data, with anchor samples carried across every barcoding batch.
- Cluster all conditions together into shared cell states, so that states are defined once rather than per sample — otherwise conditions cannot be compared.
- For each region and condition, compute the occupancy of the drug-tolerant state as a proportion of cells.
- Define the plasticity index as the shift in occupancy between the unperturbed and perturbed conditions, quantified as an earth mover's distance over the state distribution rather than a difference of means, so a change in distribution shape is not discarded.
04 Joining CyTOF to space
The two data types have incompatible geometries: dissociated cells with deep marker detail and no position; spots with position and coarser resolution. I would not try to integrate them into one embedding. I would instead use the spatial data to ask a targeted question of the regions themselves:
- Deconvolve each spot into cell-type proportions, with the matched organoid and stromal profiles as the reference, so the reference is from the same patient rather than an atlas.
- Characterise each sampled region's neighbourhood: which cell types co-occur around the epithelium, at what density, and how close to the invasive front.
- Test the association between a region's measured plasticity index and its neighbourhood composition, treating the index as the outcome and the spatial features as predictors.
That keeps each modality doing what it is good at. The CyTOF measures capacity; the spatial data explains where that capacity sits and what was next to it.
05 Statistical design
The failure mode I would most want to avoid is treating wells as replicates. Regions are nested within patients, and patients are the level at which a finding generalises.
- A mixed-effects model with patient as a random effect and region nested within it, so between-patient variation does not masquerade as a regional effect.
- Technical replicates modelled as such, never pooled into the sample size.
- Batch structure recorded in the design and tested against the biological factors before analysis — if batch is confounded with region, the experiment cannot answer the question and it is better to find that out at the design stage.
- Power considered in terms of regions per patient and patients per arm, since with a handful of patients the honest limit is a well-characterised case series rather than a population claim.
06 How it could fail
The ways I would expect this to go wrong, in order of how much they would worry me:
- Organoid drift. Derivation and passaging select. A regional difference could be a difference in how well each region's cells took to culture rather than a property of the tumour. Mitigation: low-passage work, derivation efficiency recorded as a covariate, and early-versus-late passage comparison treated as a result rather than a check.
- Batch confounded with region. If regions are processed in the order they are dissected, batch and region are the same variable. Mitigation: randomise the barcoding layout across regions and patients.
- The state is a continuum, not two states. If cells occupy a gradient, clustering imposes a boundary and "occupancy" becomes an artefact of where it was drawn. Mitigation: report the index across a range of boundaries and show the conclusion does not depend on one.
- Deconvolution error. Spots contain several cells, so neighbourhood composition is inferred rather than observed. Mitigation: validate against imaging where available, and treat weakly deconvolved spots as missing rather than as zero.
- Too few patients. Regional variation within a patient can be real while being swamped by variation between patients. That is a finding and should be reported as one, not hidden behind a pooled analysis.